Modeling Human-Climate Interactions

I develop models to understand how past and present changes in climatic regimes impacted the resilience of human subsistence regimes. Past research projects based on modeling include using ecological niche modeling to understand the spread of agriculture to Southwest China, the Tibetan Plateau and Eastern China. With Jerry Mitrovica, I have also carried out work aimed at examining how sea-level rise during Meltwater Pulse 1A impacted foragers in coastal China.
R Graphics Output

Jade d’Alpoim Guedes, Sturt Manning, R. Kyle Bocinsky (2016) A 5500 year model of changing crop niches on the Tibetan Plateau. Current A
nthropology
57(4): tbd.

Jade d’Alpoim Guedes, Jacqueline Austermann, Jerry Mitrovica (2016) Changing Sea Level during Meltwater Pulse 1A and lost foraging opportunities for East Asian Hunter-Gatherers Geoarchaeology doi 10.1002/gea.21542

Jade d’Alpoim Guedes, Jin Guiyun, Kyle Bocinsky (2015) The Impact of Climate on the Spread of Rice Agriculture to North-Eastern China: An Example from Shandong PLOS-One10(6): e0130430.

Jade d’Alpoim Guedes, Lu Hongliang, Anke Hein & Amanda Schmidt (2015). Early Evidence for the use of wheat and barley as staple crops on the margins of the Tibetan Plateau. Proceedings of the National Academy of the Sciences 112(18): 5625-5630.

Jade d’Alpoim Guedes & Ethan Butler (2014) Modeling Constraints on the Spread of Agriculture to Southwest China with Thermal Niche Models. Quaternary International 349 (2): 29-41.
News articles featuring our recent research:

www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/04/150429090110.html